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Atl. Madrid C vs Conquense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Vinatea S.
39' Event
Martinez D.
52' Event
Vega A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 game between Atl. Madrid C and Conquense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Atl. Madrid C
15%
Draws
39%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Conquense have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Atl. Madrid C are scoring more at 2.48.
  • Atl. Madrid C are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Conquense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Conquense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atl. Madrid C vs Conquense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinatea S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vega A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Conquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 42 / 100
Conquense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Conquense let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid C remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Conquense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

Conquense

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
13 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
14 Guadalajara 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)