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Atl. Madrid C vs Leganes B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Vinatea S.
61' Event
Rajado J.
66' Event
Gomez R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid C and Leganes B finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Atl. Madrid C
15%
Draws
32%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of Leganes B on wins alone.
  • Atl. Madrid C are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Leganes B
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Leganes B
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Atl. Madrid C
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinatea S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rajado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Haddadi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 42 / 100
Leganes B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Leganes B has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Atl. Madrid C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Leganes B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6

Leganes B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1
Leganes B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)