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Atl. Madrid C vs Real Avila

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gross G.
54' Event
Cuellar M.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Molina J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 game between Atl. Madrid C and Real Avila finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atl. Madrid C
15%
Draws
28%
Real Avila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atl. Madrid C are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Real Avila
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.48 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atl. Madrid C vs Real Avila
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Gross G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Avila Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 42 / 100
Real Avila 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Real Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Real Avila conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Madrid C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Real Avila
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

Real Avila

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
13 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
14 Guadalajara 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)