Sport Picks
Atl. Madrid W vs Alaves W Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Liga F Women Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares, Madrid 
Match Events
14'
14'
Juan I.
15'
15'
Iannuzzi F.
Penalty Missed
46'
46'
Sub
Navajas L. In: Brasero-Carreira S.
Out: Navajas L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga F Women game between Atl. Madrid W and Alaves W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Atl. Madrid W haven't matched Alaves W's recent run of results.
- Atl. Madrid W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Madrid W | Alaves W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Alaves W
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Copa de la Reina Women
Alaves W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:2
Mar 26, 2023 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:2
Sep 25, 2022 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Alaves W
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Madrid W Compare
Top Goalscorer Jensen S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Alaves W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Madrid W 49 / 100
Alaves W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Madrid W Alaves W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Madrid W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Alaves W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Alaves W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Madrid W VS Alaves W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Madrid W
(Home) 27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
30 Aug
Real Madrid W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Logrono W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
07 Aug
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Charlton W
26 May
Atl. Madrid W
2 : 2 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
03 May
Atl. Madrid W
4 : 0 Eibar W
Page 1 of 3
Alaves W
(Away) 26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0 Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6 Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0 Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
30 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 0 Valencia W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0 Alaves W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
15 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 0 Alaves W
02 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 1 Alaves W
04 Apr
CE Europa W
0 : 4 Alaves W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Madrid CFF W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Eibar W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Badalona W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Logrono W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Atl. Madrid W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 9 | Sevilla W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Granada CF W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Alaves W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Espanyol W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Dep. A Coruna W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 14 | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 16 | Valencia W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)
