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Atl. Madrid W vs Juventus W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Sarriegi A.
Assist: Iannuzzi F.
45'
Garcia G.
45' Event
Godo E.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid W host Juventus W in the Champions League Women 2025/2026. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Atl. Madrid W at 2.5 goals for, 0.63 against; Juventus W at 1.63 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Atl. Madrid W have won 0 to Juventus W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 12, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.13) back Juventus W to edge this. Juventus W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atl. Madrid W
30%
Draws
34%
Juventus W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Juventus W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atl. Madrid W.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Atl. Madrid W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Champions League Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Juventus W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid W Juventus W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Champions League Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Juventus W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarriegi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Juventus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Godo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonansea B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid W 36 / 100
Juventus W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid W Juventus W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Juventus W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atl. Madrid W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Juventus W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid W VS Juventus W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W651020:316
2Lyon W651018:516
3Chelsea W642020:314
4Bayern Munich W641114:1313
5Arsenal W640211:612
6Manchester United W64027:912
7Real Madrid W632113:711
8Juventus W631213:810
9Wolfsburg W630313:109
10Paris FC W62226:98
11Atl. Madrid W621313:97
12Leuven W61325:106
13Valerenga W61144:94
14AS Roma W61149:194
15Twente W60334:103
16SL Benfica W60244:112
17PSG W60244:122
18St. Polten W60153:281