Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Poljak A.
Assist: Iannuzzi F.
55'
Sub
Kuhl K. In: Hermoso J.
Out: Kuhl K.
55'
Sub
Otermin R. In: Gio Garbelini
Out: Otermin R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women game between Atl. Madrid W and Logrono W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atl. Madrid W
15%
Draws
46%
Logrono W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Logrono W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid W come out ahead of Logrono W on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 19%
Logrono W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid W Logrono W
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W
5:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:5
Jun 20, 2021 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:2
Nov 1, 2020 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Poljak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Logrono W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid W 36 / 100
Logrono W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid W Logrono W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Logrono W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logrono W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid W scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Atl. Madrid W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid W VS Logrono W
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid W

(Home)
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
30 Aug
Real Madrid W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
23 Aug
London City Lionesses W
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
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Logrono W

(Away)
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
29 Aug
Real Sociedad W
0 : 2
Logrono W
22 Aug
CA Osasuna W
1 : 1
Logrono W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid W 5 4 1 0 13:6 13
2 Barcelona W 4 4 0 0 19:2 12
3 Madrid CFF W 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Athletic Bilbao W 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
5 Badalona W 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
6 Eibar W 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
7 Logrono W 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
8 Atl. Madrid W 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
9 Sevilla W 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
10 Granada CF W 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Alaves W 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
12 Espanyol W 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
13 Dep. A Coruna W 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
14 Real Sociedad W 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
15 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 4 0 2 2 2:9 2
16 Valencia W 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)