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Atl. Madrid W vs Madrid CFF W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares, Madrid
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid W host Madrid CFF W in the Liga F Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Atl. Madrid W at 1.45 goals for, 1.17 against; Madrid CFF W at 1.47 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Atl. Madrid W slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Atl. Madrid W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atl. Madrid W
15%
Draws
45%
Madrid CFF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madrid CFF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid W come out ahead of Madrid CFF W on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Madrid W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 15%
Madrid CFF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid W Madrid CFF W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Madrid CFF W
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:3
Sep 27, 2024 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Madrid CFF W
4:0
Feb 11, 2024 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Madrid CFF W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid W 35 / 100
Madrid CFF W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid W Madrid CFF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Madrid CFF W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Atl. Madrid W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid W VS Madrid CFF W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid W

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 6

Madrid CFF W

(Away)
03 Oct
Madrid CFF W
2 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
19 Sept
Espanyol W
5 : 1
Madrid CFF W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Sevilla W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)