Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali Prediction & H2H Stats
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sarmiento A.
Assist: Moreno M.
38'
38'
Sub
Correa M. In: Manyoma A.
Out: Correa M.
45'
45'
Uribe M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Atl. Nacional and Dep. Cali finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Dep. Cali haven't matched Atl. Nacional's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Dep. Cali's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 22%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional | Dep. Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Copa Colombia
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali
3:0
Aug 27, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali
2:1
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Atl. Nacional
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Atl. Nacional
1:0
Oct 15, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Cali
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarmiento A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moreno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Dep. Cali Compare
Top Goalscorer Benedetti N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional 16 / 100
Dep. Cali 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dep. Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Dep. Cali has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Atl. Nacional remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional VS Dep. Cali
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional
(Home) 26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0 Dep. Cali
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Cali
(Away) 28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0 Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1 Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0 Dep. Cali
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:6 | 24 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Dep. Cali | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Inter Bogotá | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Cucuta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Chico | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Alianza | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Junior | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
