Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional vs Tigres Futbol Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
39'
39'
Zapata J.
45'
45'
Perlaza Perea Y. A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Tigres Futbol Club haven't matched Atl. Nacional's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Atl. Nacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atl. Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional | Tigres Futbol Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 29, 2026 Copa Colombia
Tigres Futbol Club vs Atl. Nacional
0:2
Jul 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Atl. Nacional vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:0
Nov 13, 2017 Primera A
Tigres Futbol Club vs Atl. Nacional
1:0
May 12, 2017 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Zapata J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perlaza Perea Y. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Tigres Futbol Club Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional 32 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional Tigres Futbol Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Nacional scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Tigres Futbol Club has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Atl. Nacional remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.25 goals.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional VS Tigres Futbol Club
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional
(Home) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 3
Tigres Futbol Club
(Away) 08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Tigres Futbol Club
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1 Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0 Bogota
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Tigres Futbol Club
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
29 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 3
Union Magdalena 1
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1
