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Atl. Nacional vs Tigres Futbol Club

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Zapata J.
45' Event
Perlaza Perea Y. A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Atl. Nacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Atl. Nacional
28%
Draws
22%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atl. Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tigres Futbol Club haven't matched Atl. Nacional's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Nacional's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Atl. Nacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 1 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2017 Primera A
Tigres Futbol Club vs Atl. Nacional
1:0
May 12, 2017 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perlaza Perea Y. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional 59 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Nacional scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Tigres Futbol Club has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Atl. Nacional remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tigres Futbol Club lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional VS Tigres Futbol Club
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional

(Home)
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
18 Jul
Atl. Nacional
1 : 2
Dep. Tachira
08 Jun
Atl. Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
03 Jun
Junior
3 : 0
Atl. Nacional
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
19 May
Inter Palmira
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
10 May
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Quindio
05 May
Quindio
1 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atl. Nacional2
Tigres Futbol Club0
Junior2
Barranquilla2
Dep. Pasto0
Bogota1
America De Cali2
Cartagena1
Once Caldas3
Envigado0
Deportes Tolima2
Quindio1
Santa Fe-
Union Magdalena-
Inter Bogotá1
Inter Palmira0