Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Ocampo L.
20'
Sanchez L.
29'
Martinez S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atl. Nacional W
15%
Draws
57%
Dep. Cali W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cali W come out ahead of Atl. Nacional W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Nacional W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Dep. Cali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Cali W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dep. Cali W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Dep. Cali W
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 20 26
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.78 1.82
Goals Conceded 1 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
4:0
Sep 16, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aponza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 50 / 100
Dep. Cali W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Dep. Cali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Nacional W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Dep. Cali W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: Atl. Nacional W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS Dep. Cali W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional W

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 7

Dep. Cali W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millonarios W 3
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 6
Atl. Nacional W 1
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 7