Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional W vs Deportivo Pereira W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2024 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Garcia L. In: Buitrago S.
Out: Garcia L.
24' Event
Cardenas W.
Assist: Espinales J.
32' Event
Portillo M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2024 game between Atl. Nacional W and Deportivo Pereira W finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atl. Nacional W
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Pereira W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atl. Nacional W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atl. Nacional W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Pereira W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Deportivo Pereira W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Deportivo Pereira W
6:0
Apr 1, 2023 Liga Women
Deportivo Pereira W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
Apr 13, 2022 Liga Women
Deportivo Pereira W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:1
Aug 18, 2019 Liga Women
Deportivo Pereira W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:3
Jul 21, 2019 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Deportivo Pereira W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corena J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cardenas W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Deportivo Pereira W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 95 / 100
Deportivo Pereira W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Deportivo Pereira W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Deportivo Pereira W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Nacional W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional W

(Home)
01 Aug
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
29 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Once Caldas W
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Deportivo Pereira W

(Away)
08 Jun
Real Santander W
1 : 2
Deportivo Pereira W
04 Jun
Deportivo Pereira W
1 : 3
Inter Bogotá W
26 May
Inter Palmira W
2 : 1
Deportivo Pereira W
19 May
Deportivo Pereira W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
11 May
Atl. Nacional W
6 : 0
Deportivo Pereira W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W14104040:634
2America de Cali W14103134:1133
3Indep. Santa Fe W1483317:1327
4Dep. Cali W1475216:826
5Millonarios W1466217:1024
6Alianza W1464413:1422
7Llaneros W1462611:1520
8Ind. Medellin W1454522:1619
9Inter Bogotá W1454523:1919
10Inter Palmira W1461717:1919
11Dep. Pasto W1452714:1717
12Cucuta W1435610:1814
13Deportivo Pereira W14301110:329
14Real Santander W14131015:386
15Junior W1402129:322
Promotion - Liga Women 2024 (Promotion Group)