Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional W vs Inter Palmira W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gonzalez M.
24' Event
Moreno M.
Own Goal
38'
Cedeno S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Atl. Nacional W and Inter Palmira W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atl. Nacional W
15%
Draws
34%
Inter Palmira W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Nacional W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Palmira W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Inter Palmira W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.74 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Inter Palmira W
3:1
Aug 24, 2026 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W
3:2
May 11, 2026 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:0
Mar 9, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Inter Palmira W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Corena J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Inter Palmira W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 85 / 100
Inter Palmira W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Inter Palmira W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Nacional W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Inter Palmira W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Inter Palmira W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS Inter Palmira W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional W

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
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Inter Palmira W

(Away)
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
08 Sept
Inter Palmira W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
03 Sept
Inter Palmira W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
30 Aug
Millonarios W
2 : 0
Inter Palmira W
27 Aug
Inter Bogotá W
3 : 0
Inter Palmira W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios W 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
2 Atl. Nacional W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
3 Inter Palmira W 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Inter Bogotá W 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 6 3 2 1 6:2 11
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 America de Cali W 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
4 Orsomarso W 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)