Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional W vs Millonarios W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Valencia K.
25'
Zambrano A.
45'
Martinez S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Atl. Nacional W and Millonarios W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Millonarios W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Atl. Nacional W
30%
Draws
35%
Millonarios W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 16%
Millonarios W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Millonarios W
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 21 16
Draws 2 12
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.76 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Atl. Nacional W
2:1
Aug 27, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Millonarios W
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Millonarios W
2:1
Aug 21, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Millonarios W
1:0
Aug 14, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 36 / 100
Millonarios W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Millonarios W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Nacional W's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Millonarios W conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atl. Nacional W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS Millonarios W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional W

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
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Millonarios W

(Away)
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
13 Sept
Inter Bogotá W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
03 Sept
Inter Palmira W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios W 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
2 Atl. Nacional W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
3 Inter Palmira W 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Inter Bogotá W 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 6 3 2 1 6:2 11
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 America de Cali W 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
4 Orsomarso W 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)