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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Colon Santa Fe 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
38' Event
Camino J.
71'

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Atl. Rafaela 2 and Colon Santa Fe 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Rafaela 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Atl. Rafaela 2
15%
Draws
26%
Colon Santa Fe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Rafaela 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atl. Rafaela 2 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Santa Fe 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rafaela 2 Colon Santa Fe 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Colon Santa Fe 2
2:1
Mar 31, 2026 Reserve League
Colon Santa Fe 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camino J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Colon Santa Fe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 59 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rafaela 2 Colon Santa Fe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Rafaela 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon Santa Fe 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Rafaela 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Atl. Rafaela 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Colon Santa Fe 2
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
Page 1 of 6

Colon Santa Fe 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Boca Juniors 2
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe 2
01 Oct
Colon Santa Fe 2
0 : 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
25 Sept
Colon Santa Fe 2
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
15 Sept
Independiente 2
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe 2
08 Sept
Colon Santa Fe 2
1 : 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)