Sport Picks

Argentina

Reserve League

Atl. Rafaela 2

2 - 1

Estudiantes L.P. 2

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Sagues B.

63'

69'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rafaela 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Rafaela 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Atl. Rafaela 2

Draws

90%

Estudiantes L.P. 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Estudiantes L.P. 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Estudiantes L.P. 2 lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rafaela 2.
Estudiantes L.P. 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atl. Rafaela 2	Estudiantes L.P. 2
Matches Played	18	29
Wins	3	10
Draws	3	9
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1	2.25
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Reserve League

Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagues B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 10 / 100

Estudiantes L.P. 2 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atl. Rafaela 2 Estudiantes L.P. 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela 2 scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

Estudiantes L.P. 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Rafaela 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Estudiantes L.P. 2

1 Goals Scored 2.25

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield 2	18	14	2	2	40:11	44
2	River Plate 2	18	9	4	5	24:17	31
3	Racing Club 2	18	8	6	4	27:23	30
4	Atl. Tucuman 2	18	9	3	6	26:25	30
5	Union de Santa Fe 2	18	7	8	3	23:19	29
6	Argentinos Jrs 2	18	7	7	4	24:18	28
7	Talleres Cordoba 2	18	7	5	6	27:21	26
8	Rosario Central 2	18	7	5	6	25:22	26
9	Instituto 2	18	5	9	4	20:21	24
10	San Lorenzo 2	18	6	6	6	22:24	24
11	Gimnasia L.P. 2	18	6	5	7	19:17	23
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	23
13	Banfield 2	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
14	Aldosivi 2	18	5	3	10	17:28	18
15	Barracas Central 2	18	4	5	9	11:24	17
16	Sarmiento Junin 2	18	4	4	10	16:26	16
17	Tigre 2	18	4	4	10	15:25	16
18	Godoy Cruz 2	18	4	3	11	20:30	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boca Juniors 2	18	11	3	4	33:11	36
2	Independiente 2	18	11	3	4	36:16	36
3	Lanus 2	18	11	2	5	39:24	35
4	Newells Old Boys 2	18	10	4	4	26:16	34
5	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	33
6	Defensa y Justicia 2	18	9	5	4	38:24	32
7	Estudiantes L.P. 2	18	8	4	6	25:16	28
8	CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2	18	8	3	7	27:29	27
9	Huracan 2	18	7	5	6	23:17	26
10	Platense 2	18	7	5	6	17:20	26
11	Deportivo Riestra 2	18	7	4	7	25:18	25
12	Ind. Rivadavia 2	18	7	3	8	23:23	24
13	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	22
14	Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2	18	5	4	9	21:33	19
15	Colon Santa Fe 2	18	5	3	10	15:23	18
16	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	12
17	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	11
18	San Martin S.J. 2	18	2	2	14	16:59	8