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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Ferro 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 Logo

Atl. Rafaela 2

3 - 2
FT
Ferro 2 Logo

Ferro 2

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Camino J.
25' Event
Suarez R.
69' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Atl. Rafaela 2 and Ferro 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Rafaela 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Atl. Rafaela 2
35%
Draws
19%
Ferro 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Rafaela 2 come out ahead of Ferro 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Rafaela 2's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rafaela 2 Ferro 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Ferro 2
3:2
Apr 29, 2026 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camino J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ferro 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 68 / 100
Ferro 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rafaela 2 Ferro 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Rafaela 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferro 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Atl. Rafaela 2 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Atl. Rafaela 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Ferro 2
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Home)
20 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
13 Oct
Atl. Rafaela 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
06 Oct
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
Page 1 of 6

Ferro 2

(Away)
15 Oct
Boca Juniors 2
1 : 0
Ferro 2
07 Oct
Ferro 2
0 : 0
Independiente 2
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
22 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
4 : 0
Ferro 2
16 Sept
Ferro 2
1 : 1
Platense 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 13 6 5 2 16:4 23
2 River Plate 2 13 5 7 1 22:13 22
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 13 6 3 4 14:12 21
4 Rosario Central 2 13 5 6 2 18:17 21
5 Talleres Cordoba 2 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 13 4 6 3 12:9 18
7 Godoy Cruz 2 13 4 6 3 14:12 18
8 San Lorenzo 2 13 5 3 5 14:12 18
9 Instituto 2 13 4 6 3 18:18 18
10 Gimnasia L.P. 2 13 4 5 4 13:9 17
11 Union de Santa Fe 2 13 3 7 3 17:13 16
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 13 4 4 5 10:14 16
13 Argentinos Jrs 2 13 3 5 5 8:12 14
14 Tigre 2 13 4 2 7 15:21 14
15 Racing Club 2 13 2 7 4 19:24 13
16 Aldosivi 2 13 2 6 5 11:15 12
17 Banfield 2 13 3 3 7 11:22 12
18 Barracas Central 2 13 1 6 6 9:20 9
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 13 9 3 1 28:9 30
2 Lanus 2 13 8 3 2 27:17 27
3 Boca Juniors 2 13 7 4 2 17:8 25
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 13 7 4 2 21:18 25
5 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 13 6 6 1 14:8 24
6 Deportivo Riestra 2 13 7 2 4 22:13 23
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 13 6 4 3 23:15 22
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 13 5 5 3 15:15 20
9 Huracan 2 13 5 2 6 14:13 17
10 Quilmes 2 13 4 5 4 11:11 17
11 Newells Old Boys 2 13 3 6 4 15:13 15
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 13 3 6 4 19:19 15
13 San Martin S.J. 2 13 3 4 6 11:21 13
14 Ind. Rivadavia 2 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 13 3 3 7 11:21 12
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 13 2 2 9 9:21 8
17 Platense 2 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
18 Ferro 2 13 1 3 9 9:25 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)