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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Lanus 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Brito E. J.
10' Event
Acosta B.
28' Event
Acosta B.

AI Match Summary

Lanus 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanus 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atl. Rafaela 2
20%
Draws
40%
Lanus 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lanus 2 lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rafaela 2.
  • Atl. Rafaela 2 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rafaela 2 Lanus 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.21 2
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Lanus 2
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lanus 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 35 / 100
Lanus 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rafaela 2 Lanus 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Rafaela 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Lanus 2 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Atl. Rafaela 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Lanus 2
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Home)
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
01 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

Lanus 2

(Away)
01 Oct
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
23 Sept
Lanus 2
2 : 1
Banfield 2
16 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia 2
10 Sept
Deportivo Riestra 2
4 : 1
Lanus 2
01 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)