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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rafaela 2 host Newells Old Boys 2 in the Reserve League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Atl. Rafaela 2 have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Newells Old Boys 2's 1.4 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Newells Old Boys 2 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Newells Old Boys 2. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atl. Rafaela 2
35%
Draws
42%
Newells Old Boys 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newells Old Boys 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Newells Old Boys 2 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rafaela 2 Newells Old Boys 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 24 / 100
Newells Old Boys 2 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rafaela 2 Newells Old Boys 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela 2's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Newells Old Boys 2 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Atl. Rafaela 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela 2 VS Newells Old Boys 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Home)
20 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
13 Oct
Atl. Rafaela 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
06 Oct
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys 2

(Away)
20 Oct
Newells Old Boys 2
2 : 1
Platense 2
13 Oct
Quilmes 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
06 Oct
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
30 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 14 6 6 2 17:5 24
2 Rosario Central 2 14 6 6 2 20:18 24
3 River Plate 2 14 5 8 1 23:14 23
4 Talleres Cordoba 2 14 6 5 3 16:11 23
5 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 13 6 3 4 14:12 21
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 14 4 7 3 13:10 19
7 Godoy Cruz 2 13 4 6 3 14:12 18
8 San Lorenzo 2 13 5 3 5 14:12 18
9 Instituto 2 13 4 6 3 18:18 18
10 Gimnasia L.P. 2 14 4 5 5 13:10 17
11 Union de Santa Fe 2 13 3 7 3 17:13 16
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 13 4 4 5 10:14 16
13 Aldosivi 2 14 3 6 5 13:16 15
14 Tigre 2 14 4 3 7 16:22 15
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 14 3 5 6 9:14 14
16 Racing Club 2 13 2 7 4 19:24 13
17 Banfield 2 14 3 3 8 12:24 12
18 Barracas Central 2 13 1 6 6 9:20 9
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 14 10 3 1 30:10 33
2 Lanus 2 14 9 3 2 31:18 30
3 Estudiantes L.P. 2 14 7 4 3 25:15 25
4 Boca Juniors 2 13 7 4 2 17:8 25
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 14 7 4 3 21:20 25
6 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 14 6 6 2 15:10 24
7 Deportivo Riestra 2 13 7 2 4 22:13 23
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 14 5 6 3 16:16 21
9 Newells Old Boys 2 14 4 6 4 17:14 18
10 Huracan 2 13 5 2 6 14:13 17
11 Quilmes 2 14 4 5 5 12:15 17
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 14 3 7 4 20:20 16
13 Ind. Rivadavia 2 14 4 3 7 20:26 15
14 San Martin S.J. 2 14 3 4 7 13:24 13
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 13 3 3 7 11:21 12
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 14 3 2 9 10:21 11
17 Platense 2 14 0 7 7 7:18 7
18 Ferro 2 14 1 3 10 9:26 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)