Sport Picks

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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs River Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
54' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2023 game between Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) and River Esporte Clube finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
15%
Draws
65%
River Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) haven't matched River Esporte Clube's recent run of results.
  • River Esporte Clube are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors River Esporte Clube here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 10%
River Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) River Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.1 2.08
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs River Esporte Clube
0:2
May 18, 2024 Roraimense
River Esporte Clube vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
3:0
May 6, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs River Esporte Clube
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
River Esporte Clube 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) River Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Esporte Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: River Esporte Clube conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS River Esporte Clube
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Home)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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River Esporte Clube

(Away)
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
10 Mar
River Esporte Clube
1 : 1
Monte Roraima
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Bare
2 : 1
River Esporte Clube
16 Feb
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
River Esporte Clube
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
2 Atl. Roraima 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
3 Nautico FC 4 2 1 1 14:12 7
4 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 4 1 1 2 6:12 4
5 Bare 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - Roraimense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 5 4 1 0 13:0 13
2 Real Sao Luiz 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
3 River Esporte Clube 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
4 Progresso 5 0 1 4 8:16 1
Promotion - Roraimense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)