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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs River Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Picadinho
52'
Eri
52'
Eri

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) host River Esporte Clube in the Roraimense. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against River Esporte Clube's 2.75 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) have won 1 to River Esporte Clube's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.00, favoring River Esporte Clube. River Esporte Clube in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6%
Draws
90%
River Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: River Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • River Esporte Clube has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for River Esporte Clube.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Roraimense provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 10%
River Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) River Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs River Esporte Clube
0:2
May 18, 2024 Roraimense
River Esporte Clube vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
3:0
May 6, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs River Esporte Clube
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

River Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Picadinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
River Esporte Clube 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) River Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

River Esporte Clube let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

River Esporte Clube lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS River Esporte Clube
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341