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Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fernandes M.
34' Event
Gil
82' Event
Capixaba G.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atl. Roraima
6%
Draws
90%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Roraima.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) taking it.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atl. Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 5.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1:3
Mar 4, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Atl. Roraima
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6:0
Apr 20, 2022 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capixaba G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Roraima 10 / 100
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Atl. Roraima scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Roraima VS Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
5.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341