Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Roraima vs Progresso

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Alemao

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2024 game between Atl. Roraima and Progresso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Atl. Roraima
15%
Draws
73%
Progresso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Roraima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Progresso's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Roraimense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Atl. Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Roraima Progresso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 0.94 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.91 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Progresso
1:4
Mar 11, 2025 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Roraima
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Roraima vs Progresso
1:0
May 2, 2023 Roraimense
Progresso vs Atl. Roraima
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Alemao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Roraima 10 / 100
Progresso 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Roraima Progresso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresso let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Progresso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atl. Roraima scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Roraima VS Progresso
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
5.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Roraima

(Home)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo RR
11 : 0
Atl. Roraima
14 Feb
Monte Roraima
5 : 1
Atl. Roraima
Page 1 of 7

Progresso

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 5 3 2 0 19:3 11
2 Nautico FC 5 2 3 0 11:3 9
3 Atl. Roraima 5 2 0 3 6:15 6
4 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 5 1 0 4 9:12 3
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 4 2 2 0 14:4 8
2 Monte Roraima 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 River Esporte Clube 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
4 Real Sao Luiz 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Progresso 4 0 0 4 0:27 0
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)