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Atl. Tucuman 2 vs San Lorenzo 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Abeldano G.
50' Event
Ortega M.
62' Event
Baigorria R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Atl. Tucuman 2 and San Lorenzo 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Tucuman 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Atl. Tucuman 2
15%
Draws
39%
San Lorenzo 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Tucuman 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Tucuman 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atl. Tucuman 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atl. Tucuman 2 Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Tucuman 2 San Lorenzo 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Tucuman 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
2:1
Apr 1, 2026 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Atl. Tucuman 2
0:2
Oct 9, 2025 Reserve League
Atl. Tucuman 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
1:1
May 6, 2025 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Atl. Tucuman 2
4:1
Aug 29, 2024 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Atl. Tucuman 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Tucuman 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abeldano G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortega M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

San Lorenzo 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Tucuman 2 59 / 100
San Lorenzo 2 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Tucuman 2 San Lorenzo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Tucuman 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Tucuman 2's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Lorenzo 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atl. Tucuman 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Tucuman 2 VS San Lorenzo 2
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Tucuman 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Atl. Tucuman 2
2 : 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
29 Sept
Banfield 2
1 : 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
22 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
0 : 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
16 Sept
Atl. Tucuman 2
0 : 1
Rosario Central 2
10 Sept
Tigre 2
2 : 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Argentinos Jrs 2
0 : 1
San Lorenzo 2
29 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
3 : 2
Aldosivi 2
22 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 2
Huracan 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
San Lorenzo 2
09 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)