Sport Picks

Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro

Aldosivi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atl. Tucuman play Aldosivi in the Liga Profesional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atl. Tucuman averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Aldosivi averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Atl. Tucuman won 1, Aldosivi won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 12, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Atl. Tucuman and 0.75 for Aldosivi. This points to a Atl. Tucuman double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Atl. Tucuman

34%

Draws

28%

Aldosivi

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Atl. Tucuman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Atl. Tucuman picked up more points recently compared to Aldosivi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 27%

Aldosivi Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atl. Tucuman	Aldosivi
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	6
Draws	5	9
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.1	0.73
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Liga Profesional

Atl. Tucuman vs Aldosivi

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Jul 16, 2022 Liga Profesional

Aldosivi vs Atl. Tucuman

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Aug 14, 2021 Liga Profesional

Atl. Tucuman vs Aldosivi

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

May 10, 2020 Copa de la Superliga

Atl. Tucuman vs Aldosivi

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Aug 26, 2019 Liga Profesional

Aldosivi vs Atl. Tucuman

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Tucuman Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gino F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Tucuman 40 / 100

Aldosivi 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atl. Tucuman Aldosivi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atl. Tucuman or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atl. Tucuman attacking → ← attacking Aldosivi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Tucuman scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Aldosivi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atl. Tucuman went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aldosivi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 27

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	22
8	Union de Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	21
9	Instituto	16	6	3	7	17:17	21
10	Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia Mendoza	16	5	4	7	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)	16	4	4	8	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	29
3	Argentinos Jrs	16	8	5	3	17:13	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	28
5	CA Belgrano de Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19:19	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	18
13	Atl. Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	8
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	5