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Atlanta United 2 vs Chicago Fire II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA
Atlanta United 2 Logo

Atlanta United 2

2 - 1
FT
Chicago Fire II Logo

Chicago Fire II

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Kovac A.
Assist: Dunbar C.
39' Event
Dovlo E.
Assist: Jardines A.
46'
Sub
Glyut V. In: Boltz D.
Out: Glyut V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Atlanta United 2
15%
Draws
17%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlanta United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Atlanta United 2 have won more games recently than Chicago Fire II.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Atlanta United 2 taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atlanta United 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United 2 Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.21 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Chicago Fire II
2:1
Jun 6, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Chicago Fire II
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:5
Apr 28, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dovlo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 2 83 / 100
Chicago Fire II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United 2 Chicago Fire II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlanta United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Chicago Fire II has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Atlanta United 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United 2 VS Chicago Fire II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlanta United 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Orlando City B
2 : 4
Atlanta United 2
13 Sept
Chattanooga
4 : 1
Atlanta United 2
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
CT United FC
28 Aug
Inter Miami II
1 : 2
Atlanta United 2
22 Aug
Atlanta United 2
5 : 1
Orlando City B
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Fire II

(Away)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
23 Aug
Chicago Fire II
3 : 1
Inter Miami II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)