Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlanta United 2 vs Chicago Fire II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Diawara T.
46'
Sub
Weah P. In: Dovlo E.
Out: Weah P.
46'
Sub
Henry A. In: Pita S.
Out: Henry A.

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atlanta United 2
20%
Draws
38%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atlanta United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlanta United 2 have won more games recently than Chicago Fire II.
  • Model gives Atlanta United 2 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United 2 Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 3 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Chicago Fire II
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:5
Apr 28, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:0
Aug 3, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dovlo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Chicago Fire II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 2 40 / 100
Chicago Fire II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United 2 Chicago Fire II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United 2 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Chicago Fire II has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Chicago Fire II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United 2 VS Chicago Fire II
3 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlanta United 2

(Home)
19 Jul
Huntsville City
2 : 0
Atlanta United 2
11 Jul
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
Inter Miami II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
27 Jun
Atlanta United 2
3 : 4
Crown Legacy
21 Jun
Columbus Crew 2
3 : 2
Atlanta United 2
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Fire II

(Away)
18 Jul
Crown Legacy
3 : 2
Chicago Fire II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0
New York Red Bulls II
06 Jul
Huntsville City
3 : 2
Chicago Fire II
27 Jun
Chattanooga
3 : 2
Chicago Fire II
21 Jun
New England Revolution II
1 : 2
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
4CT United FC18100833:3228
5New York City II1790827:2628
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core20601426:3221
8Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3New England Revolution II18120626:2035
4Orlando City B19120740:3335
5Chattanooga19120735:3034
6New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8CT United FC18100833:3228
9New York City II1790827:2628
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core20601426:3221
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)