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Stadium Background

Atlanta United 2 vs Crown Legacy

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Fifth Third Stadium
Sat, Jun 27, 2026
3 - 4
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United 2 play Crown Legacy in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlanta United 2 averaged 1.96 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Crown Legacy averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Atlanta United 2 won 2, Crown Legacy won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Atlanta United 2 and 2.19 for Crown Legacy. This points to a Crown Legacy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atlanta United 2
15%
Draws
46%
Crown Legacy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crown Legacy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlanta United 2 picked up more points recently compared to Crown Legacy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Crown Legacy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United 2 Crown Legacy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.96 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Crown Legacy
3:4
Apr 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Atlanta United 2
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Atlanta United 2
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Atlanta United 2
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Crown Legacy
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chong-Qui D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Crown Legacy Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouedraogo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 2 37 / 100
Crown Legacy 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United 2 Crown Legacy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Crown Legacy or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlanta United 2 attacking → ← attacking Crown Legacy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United 2 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Crown Legacy let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Atlanta United 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Crown Legacy lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 51
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1580724:2325
5Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
6CT United FC1680828:2922
7Toronto FC II17701025:3222
8FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Crown Legacy16120441:2234
2Chattanooga17110633:2831
3Orlando City B17100737:3130
4Atlanta United 21680834:2527
5Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
6Huntsville City1670929:3521
7Carolina Core18501321:3117
8Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
4Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
5Real Monarchs1790827:3023
6Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
7Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3St. Louis City 217100728:2829
4Minnesota United 21890925:2926
5North Texas1570826:2022
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy16120441:2234
3New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
4Chattanooga17110633:2831
5New England Revolution II16110521:1831
6Orlando City B17100737:3130
7Atlanta United 21680834:2527
8New York City II1580724:2325
9Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
10Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
11CT United FC1680828:2922
12Toronto FC II17701025:3222
13Huntsville City1670929:3521
14Carolina Core18501321:3117
15FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
16Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
4Ventura County18100832:2729
5St. Louis City 217100728:2829
6San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
7Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
8Minnesota United 21890925:2926
9Real Monarchs1790827:3023
10North Texas1570826:2022
11Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
12Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 217201515:359