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Atlanta United 2 vs CT United FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Atlanta United 2 at 2.21 goals for, 1.79 against; CT United FC at 2.18 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Atlanta United 2 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.31 - 2.00) back Atlanta United 2 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atlanta United 2
15%
Draws
28%
CT United FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlanta United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlanta United 2 haven't matched CT United FC's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Atlanta United 2 taking it.
  • CT United FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atlanta United 2, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United 2 CT United FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.21 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs CT United FC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 2 74 / 100
CT United FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United 2 CT United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlanta United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlanta United 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: CT United FC conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atlanta United 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United 2 VS CT United FC
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlanta United 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Orlando City B
2 : 4
Atlanta United 2
13 Sept
Chattanooga
4 : 1
Atlanta United 2
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
CT United FC
28 Aug
Inter Miami II
1 : 2
Atlanta United 2
22 Aug
Atlanta United 2
5 : 1
Orlando City B
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CT United FC

(Away)
20 Sept
CT United FC
7 : 2
Inter Miami II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
CT United FC
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Crown Legacy -
TBD -
Chattanooga -
New York City II -
Atlanta United 2 -
CT United FC -
Columbus Crew 2 -
New England Revolution II -
Austin FC II -
TBD -
Portland Timbers 2 -
St. Louis City 2 -
Ventura County -
Minnesota United 2 -
Houston Dynamo 2 -
Los Angeles FC 2 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -