Sport Picks
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA 
AI Match Summary
Atlanta United host Chicago Fire in the MLS. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Atlanta United have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Chicago Fire's 1.9 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Chicago Fire slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.56) back Chicago Fire to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Chicago Fire lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United.
- Model gives Atlanta United a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlanta United | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chicago Fire conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Atlanta United scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Atlanta United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Atlanta United
(Home)Chicago Fire
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 61:30 | 52 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 54:38 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 53:45 | 50 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 51:41 | 47 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 47:32 | 45 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:36 | 41 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41:50 | 39 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 41:41 | 38 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 51:56 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 44:53 | 31 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:54 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 35:72 | 22 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 63:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 70:50 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 48:41 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52:43 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 51:43 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 59:46 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 54:69 | 38 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 39:54 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 60:68 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 42:40 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 44:55 | 33 |
| 12 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 44:47 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 36:48 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 35:59 | 24 |
