Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlanta United vs Lexington Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atlanta United
30%
Draws
42%
Lexington
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lexington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lexington lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United.
  • Lexington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 11%
Lexington Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United Lexington
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlanta United vs Lexington
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 10 / 100
Lexington 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United Lexington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atlanta United scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Lexington let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Atlanta United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United VS Lexington
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlanta United

(Home)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

Lexington

(Away)
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1
Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6