Sport Picks
Atlanta United vs Orlando City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA 
Match Events
7'
7'
Brekalo D.
Own Goal
26'
26'
Griezmann A.
Assist: Gerbet J.
42'
42'
Brekalo D.
AI Match Summary
Orlando City in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orlando City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Orlando City lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 13%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlanta United | Orlando City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Orlando City
2:3
May 19, 2026 US Open Cup
Orlando City vs Atlanta United
4:1
May 16, 2026 MLS
Orlando City vs Atlanta United
1:1
May 28, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Orlando City
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs Atlanta United
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atlanta United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Orlando City Compare
Top Goalscorer Griezmann A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Angulo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atlanta United 31 / 100
Orlando City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atlanta United Orlando City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orlando City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orlando City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Atlanta United scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Atlanta United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atlanta United VS Orlando City
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Atlanta United
(Home) 26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Atlanta United
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26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
29 Aug
Atlanta United
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
23 Aug
Atlanta United
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City
15 Aug
Atlanta United
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls
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Orlando City
(Away) 26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2 Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2 Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
30 Aug
Minnesota United
3 : 3 Orlando City
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
