Sport Picks

Lithuania

A Lyga 2011

FK Klaipeda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atlantas play FK Klaipeda in the A Lyga 2011. Atlantas are favorites here. Recently, Atlantas averaged 1 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. FK Klaipeda averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, Atlantas won 1, FK Klaipeda won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 23, 2011 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Atlantas and 1.25 for FK Klaipeda. This points to a Atlantas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Atlantas

19%

Draws

22%

FK Klaipeda

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Atlantas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Atlantas picked up more points recently compared to FK Klaipeda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Atlantas Clean Sheet 19%

FK Klaipeda Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atlantas	FK Klaipeda
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	7	2
Draws	5	3
Losses	21	25
Goals Scored	1	0.63
Goals Conceded	2.33	2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2011 TOPLYGA

Atlantas vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Aug 6, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs Atlantas

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

May 11, 2011 TOPLYGA

Atlantas vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlantas 57 / 100

FK Klaipeda 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atlantas FK Klaipeda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlantas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Atlantas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlantas attacking → ← attacking FK Klaipeda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantas scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

FK Klaipeda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Atlantas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Klaipeda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 9

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ekranas	33	24	8	1	68:14	80
2	Zalgiris	33	22	6	5	56:17	72
3	Suduva	33	19	8	6	70:19	65
4	Siauliai	33	16	11	6	45:30	59
5	Kruoja	33	13	10	10	43:34	49
6	Banga	33	13	7	13	51:37	46
7	Tauras Taurage	33	11	12	10	50:38	45
8	Dainava Alytus	33	13	6	14	53:54	45
9	FK Atmosfera	33	9	9	15	36:54	36
10	FBK Kaunas	33	8	8	17	41:53	26
11	Atlantas	33	3	2	28	28:121	11
12	FK Klaipeda	33	2	3	28	19:89	9