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Atlantas vs Zalgiris Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2019 Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis, Klaipeda
Atlantas Logo

Atlantas

0 - 2
FT
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Baravykas R.
89' Event
Antal L.
90'
Luksa V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Zalgiris advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atlantas
15%
Draws
85%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zalgiris come out ahead of Atlantas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zalgiris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zalgiris, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zalgiris have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 17%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlantas Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 23
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
5:0
Sep 25, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
4:0
Aug 4, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Zalgiris
1:3
May 26, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
Atlantas vs Zalgiris
0:2
May 17, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlantas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Baravykas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlantas 10 / 100
Zalgiris 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlantas Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Zalgiris let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

Atlantas scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Zalgiris registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlantas

(Home)
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
27 Nov
Atlantas
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Nov
Zalgiris
5 : 0
Atlantas
08 Nov
Atlantas
1 : 4
FK Panevezys
04 Nov
Riteriai
5 : 2
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Suduva 3
Ekranas 2
Dainava Alytus 3
Marijampole City (Inactive) 4
FA Siauliai 2
FK Kedainiai 1
FC Hegelmann 0
FK Panevezys 4
Nevezis Kedainiai 3
FC Pakruojis 1
Marijampole City 0
FK Sveikata Kybartai 1
FC Stumbras 2
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 1
Atlantas 0
Zalgiris 2
Palanga 1
Ateitis Vilnius 0
Gelezinis Vilkas 0
FK Babrungas 4
Vilniaus Vytis 3
Viltis Vilnius 2
Navigatoriai Vilnius 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Riteriai 1
Kupiskis 0
FK Minija 1
Spartakas Vilnius 5
Kaisiadorys 4
Tera Vilnius 0
Banga 2
1/8-finals
Suduva 4
Marijampole City (Inactive) 1
FA Siauliai 1
FK Panevezys 6
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FC Stumbras 0
Zalgiris 3
Palanga 4
FK Babrungas 0
Vilniaus Vytis 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
FK Minija 1
Spartakas Vilnius 0
Banga 3
Quarter-finals
Suduva 1
FK Panevezys 0
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Zalgiris 5
Palanga 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Banga 3
Semi-finals
Suduva 4
Zalgiris 2
Palanga 0
Banga 2
Final
Suduva 4
Banga 0