Sport Picks
Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz, Zacatepec 
Match Events
8'
8'
Bermudez C.
32'
32'
Gonzalez Arriaga O. A.
37'
37'
Calzadilla L.
AI Match Summary
Atlante in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlante.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlante
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atlante lately — more wins on the board than Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
- Atlante are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Atlante Clean Sheet 68%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlante | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante
0:3
Feb 14, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6:0
Jan 31, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atlante Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atlante 95 / 100
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atlante Alebrijes de Oaxaca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atlante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlante found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Alebrijes de Oaxaca let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Atlante stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atlante VS Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atlante
(Home) 26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2 Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1 Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3 Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1 Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1 Club Leon
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2 Monterrey
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3 Pachuca
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1 Club Leon
15 Aug
Atlante
0 : 0 Toluca
25 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1 Club America
Page 1 of 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Away) 04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Aug
Tlaxcala
0 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
