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Atlante vs Club America Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Borja C.
Assist: Violante I.
26'
Herrera M.
41'
Alvarez K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Atlante and Club America finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atlante
35%
Draws
26%
Club America
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Club America carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Club America have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atlante Clean Sheet 12%
Club America Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Club America
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga MX
Atlante vs Club America
1:1
Jun 24, 2018 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Club America
1:2
Feb 1, 2014 Liga MX
Club America vs Atlante
1:0
Aug 11, 2013 Liga MX
Atlante vs Club America
2:4
Jan 19, 2013 Liga MX
Club America vs Atlante
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Pizzuto E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 30 / 100
Club America 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Club America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Club America let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Atlante remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Club America
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante

(Home)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

Club America

(Away)
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
03 Sept
Club America
2 : 3
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)