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Stadium Background

Atlante vs Dorados de Sinaloa

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlante play Dorados de Sinaloa in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlante averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Dorados de Sinaloa averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Atlante won 3, Dorados de Sinaloa won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Atlante and 1.26 for Dorados de Sinaloa. This points to a Atlante double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Atlante
27%
Draws
19%
Dorados de Sinaloa
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlante picked up more points recently compared to Dorados de Sinaloa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.26 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Atlante Clean Sheet 19%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Dorados de Sinaloa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Dorados de Sinaloa
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Atlante
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Atlante
1:4
Nov 10, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Dorados de Sinaloa
3:0
Nov 8, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Atlante
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonzo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dorados de Sinaloa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 52 / 100
Dorados de Sinaloa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Dorados de Sinaloa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atlante & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlante attacking → ← attacking Dorados de Sinaloa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Dorados de Sinaloa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dorados de Sinaloa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 20
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.14
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511