Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlante vs Pachuca

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Rivera C.
12'
Tercero E.
13' Event
Rondon S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Atlante and Pachuca finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atlante
35%
Draws
37%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pachuca come out ahead of Atlante on wins alone.
  • Pachuca are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Atlante Clean Sheet 13%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Pachuca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga MX
Atlante vs Pachuca
0:3
Dec 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Pachuca vs Atlante
0:4
Jan 30, 2019 Copa Mexico
Pachuca vs Atlante
0:1
Jan 9, 2019 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Pachuca
1:2
Nov 22, 2017 Copa Mexico
Pachuca vs Atlante
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kenedy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 11 / 100
Pachuca 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Pachuca has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Atlante has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Pachuca
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante

(Home)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
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Pachuca

(Away)
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)