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Atlante vs Toluca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Atlante Logo

Atlante

0 - 0
FT
Toluca Logo

Toluca

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Quiros A.
29'
Sub
Jimenez E. In: Clar W.
Out: Jimenez E.
53'
Sub
Vazquez O. In: Sarrafiore M.
Out: Vazquez O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Atlante and Toluca finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atlante
30%
Draws
23%
Toluca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Toluca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atlante Clean Sheet 11%
Toluca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante Toluca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga MX
Atlante vs Toluca
0:0
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Toluca
3:3
Oct 25, 2017 Copa Mexico
Toluca vs Atlante
1:2
Feb 18, 2015 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Toluca
1:1
Feb 4, 2015 Copa Mexico
Toluca vs Atlante
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 29 / 100
Toluca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante Toluca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlante scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Toluca conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Atlante went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Toluca
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante

(Home)
24 Oct
Atlante
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
21 Oct
Juarez
0 : 1
Atlante
17 Oct
Atlante
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

Toluca

(Away)
24 Oct
Club Leon
1 : 1
Toluca
22 Oct
Toluca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
18 Oct
Toluca
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 13 8 3 2 33:18 27
2 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
4 Atlas 14 7 3 4 25:26 24
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
8 Club Tijuana 13 5 5 3 21:17 20
9 Queretaro 13 6 2 5 17:18 20
10 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
11 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Pachuca 14 4 4 6 22:19 16
14 Puebla 14 4 4 6 16:21 16
15 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)