Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Quiros A.
29'
29'
Sub
Jimenez E. In: Clar W.
Out: Jimenez E.
53'
53'
Sub
Vazquez O. In: Sarrafiore M.
Out: Vazquez O.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX game between Atlante and Toluca finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toluca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Toluca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Atlante Clean Sheet 11%
Toluca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlante | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga MX
Atlante vs Toluca
0:0
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Toluca
3:3
Oct 25, 2017 Copa Mexico
Toluca vs Atlante
1:2
Feb 18, 2015 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Toluca
1:1
Feb 4, 2015 Copa Mexico
Toluca vs Atlante
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atlante 10 / 100
Toluca 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atlante Toluca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atlante scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Toluca conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atlante VS Toluca
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atlante
(Home) 12 Aug
Minnesota United
3 : 1 Atlante
09 Aug
Real Salt Lake
4 : 0 Atlante
05 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
0 : 1 Atlante
02 Aug
Cruz Azul
2 : 3 Atlante
25 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1 Club America
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1 Club America
10 Jul
Atlante
3 : 3 Toluca
04 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1 Monterrey
23 Apr
Atlante
2 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
17 Apr
Atlante
1 : 1 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 3
Toluca
(Away) 13 Aug
Toluca
3 : 1 FC Dallas
09 Aug
Toluca
0 : 1 Los Angeles FC
06 Aug
Toluca
3 : 0 Seattle Sounders
03 Aug
Toluca
3 : 1 Necaxa
26 Jul
Toluca
1 : 3 Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 7
19 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Toluca
10 Jul
Atlante
3 : 3 Toluca
04 Jul
Cancun
1 : 0 Toluca
10 May
Pachuca
2 : 0 Toluca
30 Apr
Los Angeles FC
2 : 1 Toluca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 6 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
