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Atlante vs UNAM Pumas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlante host UNAM Pumas in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Atlante at 1.43 goals for, 1.57 against; UNAM Pumas at 1.45 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor UNAM Pumas slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.44, favoring UNAM Pumas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atlante
35%
Draws
26%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNAM Pumas come out ahead of Atlante on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atlante Clean Sheet 16%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlante UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Atlante vs UNAM Pumas
0:1
Aug 6, 2014 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs UNAM Pumas
2:3
Jul 31, 2014 Copa Mexico
UNAM Pumas vs Atlante
1:1
Mar 16, 2014 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atlante
5:0
Mar 14, 2014 Copa Mexico
UNAM Pumas vs Atlante
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 30 / 100
UNAM Pumas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlante UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

UNAM Pumas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Atlante went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS UNAM Pumas
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlante

(Home)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)