Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2016

Catuense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atlantico EC play Catuense in the Baiano 2 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlantico EC averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Catuense averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Atlantico EC won 1, Catuense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 27, 2016 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Atlantico EC and 1.44 for Catuense. This points to a Atlantico EC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Atlantico EC

27%

Draws

29%

Catuense

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Atlantico EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Atlantico EC picked up more points recently compared to Catuense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Atlantico EC Clean Sheet 16%

Catuense Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atlantico EC	Catuense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	6
Draws	7	9
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.27	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2016 Baiano 2

Atlantico EC vs Catuense

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

5:1

Jul 30, 2016 Baiano 2

Catuense vs Atlantico EC

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlantico EC 43 / 100

Catuense 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atlantico EC Catuense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atlantico EC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlantico EC attacking → ← attacking Catuense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantico EC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Catuense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Atlantico EC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Catuense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 27

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Teixeira de Freitas	10	7	0	3	20:11	21
2	Atlantico EC	10	5	3	2	16:10	18
3	EC Ypiranga	10	5	2	3	20:14	17
4	Alagoinhas	10	3	3	4	11:14	12
5	Catuense	10	3	2	5	12:19	11
6	Juazeiro	10	1	2	7	12:23	5