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Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Ben Rhouma A.
59' Event
90'

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atlas U21
15%
Draws
57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guadalajara Chivas U21 lately — more wins on the board than Atlas U21.
  • Atlas U21 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
0:2
May 2, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Atlas U21
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Atlas U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Rhouma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas U21 36 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas U21 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atlas U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Atlas U21
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0
Atlante U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)