Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas U21 vs Monterrey U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Rojas Alanis L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Atlas U21 and Monterrey U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atlas U21
20%
Draws
51%
Monterrey U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey U21 come out ahead of Atlas U21 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Monterrey U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monterrey U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas U21 Monterrey U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Monterrey U21
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Monterrey U21
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Atlas U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Monterrey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas Alanis L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas U21 19 / 100
Monterrey U21 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas U21 Monterrey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas U21 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Monterrey U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Atlas U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlas U21 VS Monterrey U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas U21

(Home)
22 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
15 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
25 Jul
Santos Laguna U21
0 : 0
Atlas U21
17 Jul
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Atlas U21
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Monterrey U21

(Away)
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3
Monterrey U21
18 Jul
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Santos Laguna U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puebla U21 5 4 0 1 7:3 11
2 Toluca U21 4 4 0 0 8:2 10
3 Club Leon U21 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
4 Club Tijuana U21 4 3 0 1 5:2 10
5 Cruz Azul U21 4 4 0 0 10:6 8
6 Club America U21 5 2 0 3 5:6 8
7 Monterrey U21 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Atletico San Luis U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Santos Laguna U21 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
10 Atlante U21 5 1 0 4 7:10 6
11 UNAM Pumas U21 3 2 0 1 4:3 5
12 Juarez U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
13 Pachuca U21 4 1 0 3 4:6 5
14 Guadalajara Chivas U21 4 1 0 3 4:6 5
15 Atlas U21 4 1 0 3 4:5 4
16 Queretaro U21 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Necaxa U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
18 Tigres UANL U21 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)