Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas vs Atlante

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Esteves L.
14'
Pizzuto E.
35' Event
Julio J.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atlas
35%
Draws
35%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas have won more games recently than Atlante.
  • Atlas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Atlas Clean Sheet 68%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Atlante
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Atlante
1:1
Jan 19, 2014 Liga MX
Atlas vs Atlante
0:1
Jul 31, 2013 Liga MX
Atlante vs Atlas
1:1
Mar 14, 2013 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Atlas
1:0
Feb 10, 2013 Liga MX
Atlas vs Atlante
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteves L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarrafiore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 86 / 100
Atlante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Atlas's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atlas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Atlante
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 7

Atlante

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)