Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas vs Monterrey

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Gonzalez A.
61'
Aguirre E.
63'
Sub
Ocampos L. In: Canales S.
Out: Ocampos L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atlas
40%
Draws
29%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atlas lately — more wins on the board than Monterrey.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atlas Clean Sheet 18%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Monterrey
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey
0:0
Jan 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Monterrey
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlas
3:1
Jan 30, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey
3:3
Nov 3, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 32 / 100
Monterrey 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Atlas found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Monterrey let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Atlas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Monterrey
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
Atlas
18 Jul
Club Leon
2 : 3
Atlas
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Atlas
0 : 0
Necaxa
01 Jul
Atlas
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
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Monterrey

(Away)
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Monterrey
19 Jul
Monterrey
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
04 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1
Monterrey
21 Jun
Cancun
1 : 4
Monterrey
26 Apr
Santos Laguna
3 : 0
Monterrey
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)