Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas vs Monterrey

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Rios De Alba V. H.
19'
Sanchez J.
28' Event
Rossi D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Atlas and Monterrey finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atlas
30%
Draws
41%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monterrey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Monterrey carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Atlas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Monterrey
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey
0:0
Jan 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Monterrey
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlas
3:1
Jan 30, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 34 / 100
Monterrey 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monterrey conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Atlas's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Atlas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Monterrey
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
23 Aug
Cruz Azul
0 : 2
Atlas
Page 1 of 6

Monterrey

(Away)
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Monterrey
03 Sept
Club America
2 : 3
Monterrey
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 9 6 1 2 20:9 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 9 5 3 1 17:8 18
3 Club America 8 5 2 1 17:8 17
4 Cruz Azul 9 5 0 4 16:15 15
5 Queretaro 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
6 Club Tijuana 8 4 2 2 12:10 14
7 Club Leon 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
8 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
9 Atlas 9 4 2 3 13:15 14
10 Monterrey 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
11 Pachuca 9 3 3 3 15:10 12
12 UNAM Pumas 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
13 Atletico San Luis 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
14 Atlante 9 1 5 3 8:13 8
15 Necaxa 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
16 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
17 Santos Laguna 9 2 1 6 9:15 7
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)