Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas vs Monterrey

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas host Monterrey in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Atlas at 0.5 goals for, 0.63 against; Monterrey at 1.5 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Monterrey slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.06, favoring Monterrey. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atlas
39%
Draws
31%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterrey's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Atlas have produced (0.5).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atlas Clean Sheet 20%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Monterrey
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey
0:0
Jan 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Monterrey
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlas
3:1
Jan 30, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey
3:3
Nov 3, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Atlas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 31 / 100
Monterrey 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Atlas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monterrey conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Atlas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Monterrey
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
13% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
Atlas
18 Jul
Club Leon
2 : 3
Atlas
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Atlas
0 : 0
Necaxa
01 Jul
Atlas
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

Monterrey

(Away)
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Monterrey
19 Jul
Monterrey
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
04 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1
Monterrey
21 Jun
Cancun
1 : 4
Monterrey
26 Apr
Santos Laguna
3 : 0
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Tijuana22004:16
2Cruz Azul22005:36
3Atlas22004:26
4Necaxa22004:26
5Club America21102:14
6Pachuca21014:23
7Toluca21013:23
8Monterrey21014:43
9Puebla21012:23
10Queretaro21012:23
11Guadalajara Chivas21011:23
12UNAM Pumas21012:43
13Atletico San Luis20114:51
14Atlante20112:31
15Tigres UANL20113:51
16Santos Laguna20022:40
17Club Leon20022:40
18Juarez20020:20
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)