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Atlas vs Necaxa

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Atlas and Necaxa finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atlas
15%
Draws
42%
Necaxa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Necaxa's 1.45 goals per match outpaces what Atlas have produced (1.19).
  • Win probability leans Atlas's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atlas Clean Sheet 14%
Necaxa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Necaxa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Necaxa
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Atlas
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Necaxa
5:3
Sep 27, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Necaxa
3:2
Feb 19, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Necaxa
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 35 / 100
Necaxa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Necaxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Atlas scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Necaxa let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Necaxa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Necaxa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
07 Aug
Charlotte FC
2 : 0
Atlas
04 Aug
Columbus Crew
3 : 1
Atlas
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2
Monterrey
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
Atlas
18 Jul
Club Leon
2 : 3
Atlas
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Necaxa

(Away)
09 Aug
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1
Necaxa
07 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 0
Necaxa
03 Aug
Toluca
3 : 1
Necaxa
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Monterrey
17 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Atlante
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