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Atlas vs Puebla Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Atlas and Puebla finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atlas
30%
Draws
31%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atlas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atlas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atlas Clean Sheet 13%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Puebla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Puebla
3:4
Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Puebla
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atlas
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Puebla
3:2
Jul 20, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atlas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 40 / 100
Puebla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Puebla conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Atlas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Atlas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Puebla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
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Puebla

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
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