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Stadium Background

Atlas vs Puebla

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Atlas and Puebla finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atlas
30%
Draws
34%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atlas a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atlas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atlas Clean Sheet 19%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Puebla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Puebla
3:4
Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Puebla
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atlas
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Puebla
3:2
Jul 20, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atlas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 36 / 100
Puebla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Puebla conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Atlas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Atlas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Puebla
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
Atlas
18 Jul
Club Leon
2 : 3
Atlas
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Atlas
0 : 0
Necaxa
01 Jul
Atlas
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
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Puebla

(Away)
22 Jul
Cruz Azul
2 : 1
Puebla
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
01 Jul
Puebla
3 : 1
Tlaxcala
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