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Atlas vs Puebla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas host Puebla in the Liga MX. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Atlas have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Puebla's 1.19 scored and 1.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Atlas slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Atlas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atlas
35%
Draws
18%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atlas a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atlas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atlas Clean Sheet 17%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Puebla
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Puebla
3:4
Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Puebla
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atlas
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Puebla
3:2
Jul 20, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atlas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 57 / 100
Puebla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Atlas's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atlas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Puebla
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
17 Oct
Necaxa
0 : 2
Atlas
11 Oct
Atlas
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
Page 1 of 6

Puebla

(Away)
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
3 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12 5 5 2 19:12 20
5 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
6 Queretaro 11 6 2 3 15:13 20
7 Club Leon 12 5 3 4 18:17 18
8 Monterrey 11 5 2 4 19:16 17
9 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
10 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
11 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
12 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
13 Tigres UANL 12 3 5 4 14:16 14
14 Pachuca 12 3 4 5 19:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 12 3 4 5 16:21 13
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 12 1 1 10 8:31 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)