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Atlas vs Queretaro Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Zaldivar E. In: Ramirez P.
Out: Zaldivar E.
39' Event
Homenchenko S.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Garcia C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Queretaro in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queretaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atlas
30%
Draws
47%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queretaro lately — more wins on the board than Atlas.
  • Model gives Queretaro a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atlas Clean Sheet 16%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Queretaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Queretaro
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Queretaro
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Atlas
3:3
Apr 17, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Atlas
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs Queretaro
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Homenchenko S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 15 / 100
Queretaro 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlas scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Queretaro has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atlas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Queretaro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 7

Queretaro

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)