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Atlas vs Tepatitlan de Morelos

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Atlas
15%
Draws
21%
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tepatitlan de Morelos at 1.31 per game, Atlas at 1.13.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Atlas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atlas Clean Sheet 20%
Tepatitlan de Morelos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Tepatitlan de Morelos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
3:2
Jun 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Atlas vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 85 / 100
Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Tepatitlan de Morelos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Atlas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Tepatitlan de Morelos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Atlas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 Goals Scored 0.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.57
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
23 Aug
Cruz Azul
0 : 2
Atlas
16 Aug
Atlas
2 : 1
Tigres UANL
12 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 2
Atlas
07 Aug
Charlotte FC
2 : 0
Atlas
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Tepatitlan de Morelos

(Away)
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2
Tlaxcala
14 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
08 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 5
Atletico La Paz
01 Aug
Correcaminos
3 : 1
Tepatitlan de Morelos
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